Rudes 1-3 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska saw off Rudes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rudes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Rogaska?

Rudes 1-3 Rogaska in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rudes 41%, draw 27%, Rogaska 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rudes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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