St. Gallen 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jan 2024

St. Gallen
0-4 HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.94
1/2
8%
19.9
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
10%
10.15
X/2
13%
4.09
X/X
6%
6.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.01
2/X
9%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
20%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Gallen v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.16/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+84% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards –

St. Gallen 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
0-4
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise ran out comfortable winners over St. Gallen 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Gallen had 41% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

St. Gallen 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 30%, draw 20%, Union Saint-Gilloise 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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