Standard Liege 2-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 19%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/0.29
-50% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
2-1
AWAY Luzern
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Luzern 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Standard Liege as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 52% of the ball to Luzern's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Luzern?

Standard Liege 2-1 Luzern in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 51%, draw 21%, Luzern 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Standard Liege), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Jan 2024
03:00 Cerro vs Velez Sarsfield Analysis →
14:00 Viborg vs SonderjyskE Analysis →
14:00 St. Gallen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
14:00 Hajduk Split vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
14:00 Arminia Bielefeld vs Rödinghausen Analysis →
14:00 Rudes vs Rogaska Analysis →