12/01/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Leoben vs Bruck Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
30%
29%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leoben v Bruck — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leoben
The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bruck
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
300 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
396 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Leoben vs Bruck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leoben ran out comfortable winners over Bruck 4-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Leoben made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Leoben vs Bruck?
Leoben 4-0 Bruck in the Friendlies on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leoben vs Bruck?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leoben 38%, draw 29%, Bruck 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leoben), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Leoben)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
12 Jan 2024