Black Bulls Maputo 1-3 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+12.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.3pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-17.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Bulls Maputo EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 75%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.46/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.18
+150% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
26.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Black Bulls Maputo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zamalek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.36 xG 1.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
359 Passes 451
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 20
27.11.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Black Bulls Maputo Black Bulls Maputo CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Black Bulls Maputo
1-3
AWAY Zamalek
0.65 xG 3.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
345 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Black Bulls Maputo vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek saw off Black Bulls Maputo 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Black Bulls Maputo had 47% of the ball to Zamalek's 53%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.65 to 3.03.

What was the final score of Black Bulls Maputo vs Zamalek?

Black Bulls Maputo 1-3 Zamalek in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Bulls Maputo vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Black Bulls Maputo 23%, draw 24%, Zamalek 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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