Stellenbosch FC 2-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.4pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 18%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.36
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.41 xG 2.03
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
392 Passes 152
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
2-0
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
2.76 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
228 Passes 244
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC beat Stade Malien Bamako 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stellenbosch FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 47% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 53%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.76 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Stellenbosch FC 2-0 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 56%, draw 23%, Stade Malien Bamako 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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