Onze Bravos 1-1 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
23.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onze Bravos EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 56%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.5 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Onze Bravos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Simba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
229 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.11.2024 Simba Simba 1-0 HT 1-0 Onze Bravos Onze Bravos CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onze Bravos
1-1
AWAY Simba
1.04 xG 2.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
218 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Onze Bravos vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Onze Bravos and Simba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Simba at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Onze Bravos had 44% of the ball to Simba's 56%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 1.04 to 2.14.

What was the final score of Onze Bravos vs Simba?

Onze Bravos 1-1 Simba in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onze Bravos vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Onze Bravos 31%, draw 26%, Simba 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Simba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Simba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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