Zamalek 2-0 Black Bulls Maputo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
5.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 32% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.1pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Bulls Maputo EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
450 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.8 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
2-0
AWAY Black Bulls Maputo
1.91 xG 0.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
451 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
46 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Black Bulls Maputo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek got the better of Black Bulls Maputo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 55% of the ball to Black Bulls Maputo's 45%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.91 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Black Bulls Maputo?

Zamalek 2-0 Black Bulls Maputo in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Black Bulls Maputo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 64%, draw 21%, Black Bulls Maputo 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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