ASEC 2-0 Jaraaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

ASEC
2-0 HT 1-0
Jaraaf
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.32
2-3 Goals
33%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 44% vs market 36.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.9pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASEC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaraaf EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.22
+0% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASEC
2-0
AWAY Jaraaf
0.84 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ASEC vs Jaraaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASEC saw off Jaraaf 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ASEC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ASEC had 55% of the ball to Jaraaf's 45%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.84 to 0.74.

What was the final score of ASEC vs Jaraaf?

ASEC 2-0 Jaraaf in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASEC vs Jaraaf?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASEC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ASEC 55%, draw 23%, Jaraaf 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ASEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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