Barcelona U19 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
2.59
6+ Goals
9%
6.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.91 — our 29% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
24.3
X/1
21%
3.72
X/2
5%
22.55
X/X
13%
9.07
2/1
4%
21.7
2/2
5%
19.85
2/X
4%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.01/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.73
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +10%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
17.0 Crosses 10.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona U19
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19
1.94 xG 0.64
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
570 Passes 210
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona U19 and Dinamo Zagreb U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona U19 at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona U19 had 71% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb U19's 29%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.94 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Barcelona U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Barcelona U19 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Barcelona U19 64%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb U19 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona U19) ✗ BTTS No
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