Sporting CP U19 4-0 Monaco U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.62
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.51
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
15%
7.89
X/X
15%
5.86
2/1
4%
20.5
2/2
9%
5.24
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
2.60/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+52% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U19
4-0
AWAY Monaco U19
1.44 xG 0.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 353
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U19 vs Monaco U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 ran out comfortable winners over Monaco U19 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting CP U19 had 45% of the ball to Monaco U19's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.44 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U19 vs Monaco U19?

Sporting CP U19 4-0 Monaco U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U19 vs Monaco U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U19 43%, draw 27%, Monaco U19 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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