Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 1-1 Sturm Graz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
14%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.05
1/2
13%
28.0
1/X
4%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.4
X/2
10%
6.74
X/X
16%
5.26
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
19%
4.3
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
43%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19
1-1
AWAY Sturm Graz U19
0.88 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
250 Passes 241
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 and Sturm Graz U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 had 51% of the ball to Sturm Graz U19's 49%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.88 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 1-1 Sturm Graz U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 32%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz U19 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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