Salzburg U19 1-1 Celtic U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.17
2-3 Goals
35%
2.2
4-5 Goals
31%
2.32
6+ Goals
14%
4.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
8%
4.08
X/2
6%
19.45
X/X EV+ ✓
14%
10.05
2/1
6%
17.85
2/2
8%
14.55
2/X
5%
23.4
Value flag · X/X at 10.05 — our 14% vs market 6.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-16.6pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg U19 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.79/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.71
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg U19
1-1
AWAY Celtic U19
2.05 xG 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
308 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg U19 vs Celtic U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg U19 and Celtic U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Salzburg U19 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Salzburg U19 had 50% of the ball to Celtic U19's 50%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.05 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Salzburg U19 vs Celtic U19?

Salzburg U19 1-1 Celtic U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg U19 vs Celtic U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Salzburg U19 56%, draw 25%, Celtic U19 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
12 Feb 2025
14:00 Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 Analysis →
16:00 Midtjylland U19 vs Manchester City U19 Analysis →
16:00 Sporting CP U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
16:00 Barcelona U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19 Analysis →
18:00 Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Analysis →
18:00 Olympiakos U19 vs Girona U19 Analysis →