Real Madrid U19 2-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 12 Feb 2025

Real Madrid U19
2-0 HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund U19
📅12/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.07
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.3
X/2
10%
9.98
X/X
13%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.7
2/2
7%
7.48
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.71/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/3.33
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.2 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.58 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
403 Passes 197
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 1-2 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 Borussia Dortmund U19 UEGL

Real Madrid U19 2-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
2-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
1.66 xG 0.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
449 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 got the better of Borussia Dortmund U19 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 62% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund U19's 38%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.66 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Real Madrid U19 2-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 52%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund U19 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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