Farsley AFC 0-2 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
7%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.31
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.10.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
0-2
AWAY Warrington Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town saw off Farsley AFC 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Warrington Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 49% of the ball to Warrington Town's 51%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Warrington Town?

Farsley AFC 0-2 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 31%, draw 27%, Warrington Town 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrington Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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