Peterborough Sports 1-3 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.86
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
23%
4.07
6+
8%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton The Market 43%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.73
+9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
10.12.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
06.08.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-3
AWAY Buxton
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton beat Peterborough Sports 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Buxton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 51% of the ball to Buxton's 49%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterborough Sports and 2.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Buxton?

Peterborough Sports 1-3 Buxton in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 33%, draw 32%, Buxton 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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