Famalicao U23 4-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
3.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.73
+93% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
22.10.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
02.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
12.03.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
4-1
AWAY Vizela U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 cruised past Vizela U23 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Famalicao U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 49% of the ball to Vizela U23's 51%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Famalicao U23 and 0.83 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23?

Famalicao U23 4-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 41%, draw 23%, Vizela U23 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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