Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.49/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
+49% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Famalicao U23
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
02.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
12.03.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-1
AWAY Famalicao U23
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 and Famalicao U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 63% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 37%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Vizela U23 and 1.60 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 29%, draw 27%, Famalicao U23 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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