Mafra U23 2-0 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.32
-56% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 3-2 HT 1-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
2-0
AWAY Farense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 got the better of Farense U23 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mafra U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 56% of the ball to Farense U23's 44%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 2.25 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Farense U23?

Mafra U23 2-0 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 32%, draw 35%, Farense U23 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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