Qatar SC 2-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.34
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.54/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.7 Crosses 17.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 2.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2026 Qatar SC Qatar SC 3-2 HT 3-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
07.11.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
22.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-2 HT 2-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
22.09.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
19.05.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATEK
20.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
2-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.84 xG 0.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
253 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 15
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC saw off Al Gharafa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Qatar SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qatar SC had 53% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 47%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Qatar SC and 2.50 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Qatar SC 2-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 34%, draw 27%, Al Gharafa 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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