Forest Green Rovers 2-3 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

Forest Green Rovers
2-3 HT 0-2
Gateshead
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 32% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.04
X/2
14%
7.23
X/X
16%
5.1
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.49/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.14
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
186 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 135 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gateshead
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
18.02.2017 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
13.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.03.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.09.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.04.2015 Gateshead Gateshead 2-4 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 2-3 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-3
AWAY Gateshead
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead squeezed past Forest Green Rovers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gateshead found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 56% of the ball to Gateshead's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.00 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead?

Forest Green Rovers 2-3 Gateshead in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 38%, draw 30%, Gateshead 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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