Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

Gateshead
0-2 HT 0-1
Forest Green Rovers
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.13
X/2
10%
6.27
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
14%
4.12
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.32/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.34
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
18.02.2017 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
13.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.03.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.09.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.04.2015 Gateshead Gateshead 2-4 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
11.10.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL

Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
0-2
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 1
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers beat Gateshead 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 69% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 31%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers?

Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 41%, draw 29%, Forest Green Rovers 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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