Solihull Moors 2-4 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.39
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.93
X/2
14%
5.69
X/X
10%
4.61
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.57/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.93
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-3 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
21.10.2023 Southend United Southend United 5-0 HT 2-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
07.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
13.08.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
26.02.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
02.10.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
2-4
AWAY Southend United
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Passes 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United got the better of Solihull Moors 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Southend United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 56% of the ball to Southend United's 44%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Solihull Moors and 2.17 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Southend United?

Solihull Moors 2-4 Southend United in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 37%, draw 27%, Southend United 37%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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