AFC Fylde 1-1 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.41
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
12%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.41
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
8%
5.05
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
3.78
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.83/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Woking
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Woking Woking 3-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
30.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
17.08.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-4 HT 0-2 Woking Woking İBSL
27.01.2018 Woking Woking 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
23.09.2017 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-2 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
1-1
AWAY Woking
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde and Woking shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 54% of the ball to Woking's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Woking led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for AFC Fylde and 2.40 for Woking.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Woking?

AFC Fylde 1-1 Woking in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 38%, draw 28%, Woking 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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