Braintree Town 0-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.66
X/2
13%
6.34
X/X
15%
4.26
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
4.82
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.82/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
-47% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
28.12.2013 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
02.11.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
05.01.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 1-4 HT 0-2 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
01.09.2012 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
29.11.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
27.09.2011 Braintree Town Braintree Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
0-1
AWAY Tamworth
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Braintree Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Braintree Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Braintree Town had 59% of the ball to Tamworth's 41%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braintree Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Braintree Town and 0.67 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Tamworth?

Braintree Town 0-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 45%, draw 26%, Tamworth 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Braintree Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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