Tamworth 4-2 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Apr 2025

Tamworth
4-2 HT 3-2
Braintree Town
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Braintree Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.86
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.0
X/2
15%
7.15
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
7%
23.3
2/2
9%
4.95
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Braintree Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.82/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.87
+87% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
74 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 58 · 91%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Tamworth vs Braintree Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Braintree Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
0 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
28.12.2013 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
02.11.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
05.01.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 1-4 HT 0-2 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
01.09.2012 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
29.11.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL

Tamworth 4-2 Braintree Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
4-2
AWAY Braintree Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth saw off Braintree Town 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tamworth had 50% of the ball to Braintree Town's 50%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braintree Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tamworth and 1.33 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Braintree Town?

Tamworth 4-2 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 42%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5
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