Greenock Morton 1-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.96
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
11%
16.1
X/1
9%
8.34
X/2
15%
4.24
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
14%
2.5
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-10.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.09/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.01
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
234 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 66%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
25.02.2025 Livingston Livingston 3-2 HT 3-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
12.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
24.08.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
07.04.2018 Livingston Livingston 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
13.03.2018 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.67 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Livingston?

Greenock Morton 1-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 28%, draw 31%, Livingston 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKCL More Scotland - Championship
12 Apr 2025
17:00 Queens Park vs Dunfermline Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Partick Thistle vs Hamilton Analysis →
17:00 Raith Rovers vs Airdrieonians Analysis →