Partick Thistle 1-2 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 12 Apr 2025

Partick Thistle
1-2 HT 0-2
Hamilton
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Partick Thistle vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.74
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.59
X/2
10%
7.56
X/X
8%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.88
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 1/X at 13.75 — our 14% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Partick Thistle v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.42
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 65%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
15.2 Crosses 5.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Partick Thistle vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
12 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.01.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
16.11.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
28.09.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
22.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
28.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
15.10.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton nicked a narrow win over Partick Thistle 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Partick Thistle at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Hamilton?

Partick Thistle 1-2 Hamilton in the Scotland - Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 46%, draw 28%, Hamilton 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ BTTS Yes
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