Celta Vigo 0-2 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No OUR CALL
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
13%
4.01
X/2
9%
10.5
X/X
13%
4.89
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
6%
9.11
2/X
6%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.52
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.4 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Espanyol
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
458 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 3-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
18.03.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
03.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İSPK
13.08.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-2 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
10.04.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
17.12.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
0-2
AWAY Espanyol
0.91 xG 1.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
511 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol got the better of Celta Vigo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 64% of the ball to Espanyol's 36%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.91 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.83 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Espanyol?

Celta Vigo 0-2 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 52%, draw 26%, Espanyol 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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