Real Sociedad 0-2 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.48
X/2
13%
7.78
X/X
15%
3.69
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
10%
6.71
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.30/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.15
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.0 Crosses 17.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
27.02.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İSPK
18.02.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
06.02.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.10.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
12.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-2
AWAY Mallorca
0.70 xG 0.69
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
439 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca got the better of Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 65% of the ball to Mallorca's 35%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?

Real Sociedad 0-2 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 43%, draw 29%, Mallorca 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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