Getafe vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Getafe v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Getafe vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Getafe
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Getafe
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Las Palmas
İS1
4-0
HT 2-0
Getafe
İS1
Getafe 1-3 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas saw off Getafe 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Getafe had 41% of the ball to Las Palmas's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.79 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Getafe.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Getafe and 1.67 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Getafe vs Las Palmas?
Getafe 1-3 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Getafe vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Getafe 42%, draw 29%, Las Palmas 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.