CD Coria 1-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.04/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.57
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Talavera CF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
19.03.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
30.10.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
1-1
AWAY Talavera CF
61% Ball Possession 39%
28 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria and Talavera CF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, CD Coria had 61% of the ball to Talavera CF's 39%, shots finished 28-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CD Coria and 1.33 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Talavera CF?

CD Coria 1-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 32%, draw 27%, Talavera CF 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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