Real Aviles 4-3 Escobedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.52
Over
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.4pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Escobedo EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +30%
1.44/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.90
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +62%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Escobedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Escobedo Escobedo 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
4-3
AWAY Escobedo
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Escobedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles nicked a narrow win over Escobedo 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 56% of the ball to Escobedo's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Escobedo?

Real Aviles 4-3 Escobedo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Escobedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 44%, draw 36%, Escobedo 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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