UD San Fernando 1-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -1%
0.89/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.82
-15% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
1-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD San Fernando and UCAM Murcia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 48% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 52%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia?

UD San Fernando 1-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 34%, draw 29%, UCAM Murcia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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