Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.82
Over
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No Pick
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.26
2-3
39%
1.83
4-5
22%
3.77
6+
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.75
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
12%
4.66
X/2
8%
7.48
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
14%
5.69
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.27/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.89
-22% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 16.8
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandhausen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
143 Passes 556
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-0 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
2-1
AWAY Sandhausen
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
305 Passes 173
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen nicked a narrow win over Sandhausen 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alemannia Aachen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 58% of the ball to Sandhausen's 42%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Sandhausen?

Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 44%, draw 27%, Sandhausen 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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