Ingolstadt 3-3 Hannover 96 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.46
2-3
42%
2.06
4-5
25%
2.75
6+
12%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
11%
10.05
X/X
8%
6.67
2/1
8%
19.3
2/2
13%
6.99
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.87/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.63
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hannover 96 II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
319 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II 0-4 HT 0-3 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
3-3
AWAY Hannover 96 II
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 213
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Hannover 96 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Hannover 96 II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 59% of the ball to Hannover 96 II's 41%, shots finished 22-13.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Hannover 96 II?

Ingolstadt 3-3 Hannover 96 II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Hannover 96 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 47%, draw 23%, Hannover 96 II 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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