Hansa Rostock 4-0 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.71
Over
55%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.86
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
26%
4.29
6+
9%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.24
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.89
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+13% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.2 Crosses 13.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Verl
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 486
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
05.02.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-2 HT 0-2 Verl Verl AL3
10.10.2020 Verl Verl 2-3 HT 1-3 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
4-0
AWAY Verl
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
274 Passes 387
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
4 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock ran out comfortable winners over Verl 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Hansa Rostock made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 43% of the ball to Verl's 57%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.67 for Verl.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Verl?

Hansa Rostock 4-0 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 40%, draw 27%, Verl 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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