Düren Merzenich 0-6 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
16.01
Draw
24%
5.71
Away Pick
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
3.68
Over
50%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.67
No
53%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
40%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
MSV Duisburg win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
4%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
15%
+8.5pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-18.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
24%
+26.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
76%
-26.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
33%
+13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
67%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 84%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.79
-100% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
227 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg ran out comfortable winners over Düren Merzenich 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs MSV Duisburg?

Düren Merzenich 0-6 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 14%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 62%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ BTTS No
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