Fortuna Köln 4-1 Eintracht Hohkeppel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Hohkeppel EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.73
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Hohkeppel
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2024 Eintracht Hohkeppel Eintracht Hohkeppel 1-3 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Eintracht Hohkeppel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln swept aside Eintracht Hohkeppel 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?

Fortuna Köln 4-1 Eintracht Hohkeppel in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 42%, draw 26%, Eintracht Hohkeppel 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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