Rödinghausen 1-4 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.86
Over
37%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
34%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
50%
+12.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
50%
-12.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.1pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.59/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.99
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
326 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gütersloh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Gütersloh Gütersloh 2-3 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-0 HT 0-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Gütersloh Gütersloh 2-1 HT 2-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh ran out comfortable winners over Rödinghausen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gütersloh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.33 for Gütersloh.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Gütersloh?

Rödinghausen 1-4 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 37%, draw 33%, Gütersloh 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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