Sumqayıt 1-2 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.19/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
249 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shamakhi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
24.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
12.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
11.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 4-2 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi nicked a narrow win over Sumqayıt 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.17 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Sumqayıt 1-2 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 42%, draw 27%, Shamakhi 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
12 Apr 2025
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