Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.09
No
66%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.7pp
66%
BTTS No
56%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.12
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sabah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.02.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
03.12.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
24.11.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
15.09.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Sabah 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Turan Tovuz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.33 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 38%, draw 27%, Sabah 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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