Holbaek 2-1 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 23%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
0.95/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
-48% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Holstebro BK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
25.09.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAK
01.04.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
16.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 2-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
09.05.2021 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 HT 1-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
31.10.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek edged past Holstebro BK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holbaek had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Holbaek and 0.33 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Holstebro BK?

Holbaek 2-1 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 46%, draw 28%, Holstebro BK 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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