Naesby 3-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.80/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.55
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Avarta
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Avarta Avarta 0-5 HT 0-3 Naesby Naesby DAN3
25.05.2024 Naesby Naesby 5-1 HT 4-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
12.05.2024 Avarta Avarta 1-3 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
06.04.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-4 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
19.08.2023 Naesby Naesby 0-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
3-0
AWAY Avarta
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby swept aside Avarta 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Naesby had 54% of the ball to Avarta's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Naesby and 0.80 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Avarta?

Naesby 3-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Naesby 47%, draw 25%, Avarta 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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