Llanelli Town 3-0 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
44%
4-5
29%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
2.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.28
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Trefelin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.09.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
02.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
29.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
29.04.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-4 HT 0-2 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.03.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town cruised past Trefelin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Llanelli Town and 1.50 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Trefelin?

Llanelli Town 3-0 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 48%, draw 24%, Trefelin 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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