Taffs Well vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taffs Well v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals
Taffs Well vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Taffs Well
GALFAW
2-0
HT 0-0
Afan Lido
GALFAW
2-1
HT 1-0
Afan Lido
GALLK
1-5
HT 0-2
Taffs Well
GALFAW
Afan Lido saw off Taffs Well 3-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Afan Lido as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Taffs Well and 1.00 for Afan Lido.
What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Afan Lido?
Taffs Well 1-3 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Afan Lido?
Before kick-off our model rated an Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 34%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afan Lido), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.