HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Istra 1961
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
HIR
HNK Gorica 3-2 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica nicked a narrow win over Istra 1961 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day HNK Gorica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 41% of the ball to Istra 1961's 59%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.25 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HNK Gorica and 0.33 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
HNK Gorica 3-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 33%, draw 34%, Istra 1961 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.