Floriana 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.25
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
41%
-12.1pp
38%
Draw
30%
+7.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.34
-44% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 1-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
21.10.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
30.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTAK
17.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
14.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.12.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
2-1
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana squeezed past Marsaxlokk FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 38% / 34%) promised a tight game; Floriana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 54% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 46%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Floriana 2-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Floriana 29%, draw 38%, Marsaxlokk FC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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