Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mosta v Hamrun Spartans — Team-Based Signals
Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
1-2
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
Mosta 0-2 Hamrun Spartans — Actual Match Statistics
Hamrun Spartans beat Mosta 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mosta had 47% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 53%, shots finished 6-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mosta and 1.50 for Hamrun Spartans.
What was the final score of Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Mosta 0-2 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mosta 20%, draw 28%, Hamrun Spartans 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.