Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Necaxa
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Pachuca
MEK
Necaxa 3-5 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca saw off Necaxa 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Pachuca made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Necaxa had 52% of the ball to Pachuca's 48%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.55 to 1.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Necaxa and 2.00 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Pachuca?
Necaxa 3-5 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 40%, draw 27%, Pachuca 34%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Necaxa), Under 2.5 went the other way.